Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.387933e-03 0.001549 0.001710 0.001883 0.002062 0.002241 0.002435
2025-10-19 1.126891e-03 0.001360 0.001600 0.001863 0.002141 0.002426 0.002738
2025-10-26 9.179939e-04 0.001204 0.001506 0.001844 0.002208 0.002587 0.003006
2025-11-02 7.449264e-04 0.001069 0.001422 0.001825 0.002267 0.002732 0.003253
2025-11-09 6.057724e-04 0.000959 0.001354 0.001816 0.002330 0.002876 0.003493
2025-11-16 4.935107e-04 0.000868 0.001301 0.001816 0.002397 0.003020 0.003730
2025-11-23 3.991313e-04 0.000789 0.001254 0.001818 0.002462 0.003158 0.003956
2025-11-30 3.502126e-04 0.000761 0.001264 0.001882 0.002593 0.003367 0.004258
2025-12-07 2.752221e-04 0.000691 0.001218 0.001877 0.002643 0.003483 0.004455
2025-12-14 1.977552e-04 0.000606 0.001148 0.001839 0.002653 0.003552 0.004597
2025-12-21 1.594610e-04 0.000573 0.001139 0.001873 0.002743 0.003708 0.004834
2025-12-28 1.174199e-04 0.000526 0.001111 0.001879 0.002799 0.003824 0.005026
2026-01-04 6.770170e-05 0.000465 0.001073 0.001892 0.002884 0.003999 0.005310
2026-01-11 2.410453e-05 0.000391 0.001014 0.001877 0.002937 0.004138 0.005558
2026-01-18 9.612853e-07 0.000322 0.000956 0.001860 0.002987 0.004273 0.005802
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000261 0.000900 0.001843 0.003035 0.004405 0.006042
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000210 0.000853 0.001836 0.003092 0.004546 0.006291
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000168 0.000816 0.001837 0.003158 0.004696 0.006549
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000132 0.000781 0.001839 0.003223 0.004845 0.006804
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000121 0.000792 0.001904 0.003366 0.005082 0.007158
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000090 0.000755 0.001898 0.003419 0.005213 0.007391
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000054 0.000698 0.001861 0.003429 0.005292 0.007562
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000042 0.000691 0.001894 0.003529 0.005476 0.007853